Archives July 2026

A tariff announcement can sound abstract until you price the next container, renegotiate the next contract, or explain the next cost increase to customers. This week, we unpack a major shift in US trade policy: a new, more legally durable tariff system justified through forced labor enforcement rules and applied across roughly 99% of imports. We walk through what’s changing, why the legal basis matters, who gets hit with 10% versus 12.5%, and why exemptions in areas like electronics and energ…

Seven ships attacked in a week. Twelve mariners killed. When violence flares in the Strait of Hormuz, it is not a distant headline for supply chain and trade watchers, it is a direct threat to maritime traffic, energy security, and the price of everyday goods. We walk through what the latest Gulf shocks signal for global shipping, from rerouting risk to the real-world strain crews face when a chokepoint turns hostile. From there, we connect the dots to the economics: war risk insurance premi…

Energy prices are no longer a temporary headache, they’re shaping which countries can invest, innovate, and keep high-value manufacturing at home. I dig into why the UK’s energy costs sit so far above the United States and often above the European Union, and how that gap quietly turns into a productivity tax that shows up in output, hiring, and long-term growth. We walk through the real economic mechanics: how energy price shocks compress production in energy-intensive industries, why volati…

As we celebrate 250 years of US Independence on the 4th of July 2026, Tariffs are back in the driver’s seat, war risk is rattling energy markets, and the global supply chain is taking the hit in real time. I break down what’s happening across North American trade as USMCA discussions simmer under the weight of politics, with steel, autos, and other key categories still facing pressure. When policy turns unpredictable, the costs show up everywhere: sourcing decisions, landed cost math, lead ti…